The nets won't make a call that someone has definitively lost a race, but I will: Romney is not going to win Mississippi. Gingrich has a chance, but that grows slimmer as well.
Fire up the spin machines, Team Santorum!
At the rate votes are counting up in MS, they may be able to call it for Santorum very soon.
What's the delegate allocation rules for these states? I know not a lot were at stake to begin with (something like 80 between the two...)
AL is only winner take all if someone clears 50%. Since that won't happen, 21 delegates are awarded by congressional district, 26 delegates are apportioned by total vote count, and 3 are held by state muckity-mucks who can wait to declare at the Convention.
Mississippi works the same way: 3 delegates per winner of the congressional districts (12 total) and 25 at-large delegates apportioned by vote totals in the state. 3 state muckity mucks have independence in declaring their support, like in Alabama.
Good God, Romney outspent the other two by massively huge amounts, and he's running third!? He really is trying to just buy this election. Sadly, he may do it.
Nets finally call MS for Santorum.
What reality am I living in when someone like Santorum actually has a chance at getting the nomination? Is this the future of Republican Presidential politics? Candidates that make Reagan look like a flaming liberal?
WRT Jesus, Santorum does seem hard right to Reagan, but then again I don't really remember how often Reagan talked about God. I'm guessing that means he didn't try to shove it down people's throats.
Reagan beat Carter because inflation was out of control and the Iran hostages thing, and then in '84 the economy was better and Mondale made a campaign pledge to raise taxes, which was a stupid thing to say, so it's hard to know just how popular Reagan really was.
Reagan didn't campaign on dismantling government agencies though. That's the new thing with Republicans -- actually get rid of, instead of cut back, on social programs.
Because of the proportional delegate allocations and the fact that Gingrich won't quit the race, Santorum really didn't do much more than tread water with his narrow wins last night.
That said, it really looks pretty bad for Romney that he came in THIRD behind the no-account Gingrich at this stage of the primary season.
What I can't help thinking is - if he has this much trouble mustering core support in his own party to defeat the likes of Gingerich and Santorum, how likely is it that he really stands a chance against Obama in November?
Obviously, it is a different electorate and the economy plays its part, but still... Gingerich is a joke candidate, and Santorum has no organization worth speaking of. In November, he'll be going up against an incumbent president with almost limitless money and who is a much more capable campaigner than either of those two. Observing from the outside, it is hard to understand how this is even a contest.
What is even worse for Romney, if Gingrich wasn't backed by some sugar daddies and had to drop out, Santorum would likely pick up all those votes and have absolutely blown Romney out of the water.
Of course, I think no one should be surprised that a guy who is hardcore religious right would beat a super rich guy (thought they are both wealthy, Romney just flaunts it more) from the northeast in the deep south.
Has Romney managed to win any states in the Deep South yet? Besides Florida (which, culturally, doesn't seem to really count).
Mitt "top 1%" Romney might have no positions of his own and might be the stereotypical politician, but at least he doesn't hate religion (although this might change if santorum changes the focus of his attack ads later on).
Louisiana is next up on the 24th of this month, and then North Carolina, Arkansas and Texas are all holding their primaries in May.
Interesting. For the most part I'm not sure how significant that is; it's not like there's any chance of Mississippi or Alabama going for Obama in the general election. On the other hand, his relative weakness in that region might have an effect down the ballot.
I am not sure if Romney's appeal in the Deep South compared to other Republicans matters...it isn't like Obama is going to win Alabama and Mississippi in November, even if the Republicans nominated Kodos. On the other hand, as Andrew Sullivan pointed out in his analysis, the fact that Romney can't even take a close second with his massive money advantage doesn't bode well for excitement among people he does need to vote for him in more marginal states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, or Florida.
Well - if nothing else, it is going to be interesting to see what he actually will say when the real elections come around.
And again, he's up against a bunch of walking failures here. Ron Paul is only in the race to keep his ideology on the table (and since he's failed to do that, he really ought to leave). Gingrich is literally in the race to sell more books and drive up his speaking fees -- maybe we can be impressed with his capitalist motives, but Romney should not be contending with the guy in ANY race, much less one for the POTUS. And Santorum is simply unelectable after his theological bent is reveled -- which it has been! For months!
A close race is justified when you have two worthy competitors and the public realistically needs more time to decide: Clinton and Obama; McCain and Romney; Ford and Reagan.
This is not such a race.
The Republican really, really value Latino voters, and are not shy about speaking out on ways they can improve themselves: Santorum tells Puerto Rico that they'll need to learn English in order to be a state.
"Like any other state, there has to be compliance with this and any other federal law," Santorum said. "And that is that English has to be the principal language. There are other states with more than one language such as Hawaii but to be a state of the United States, English has to be the principal language."
However, the U.S. Constitution does not designate an official language, nor is there a requirement that a territory adopt English as its primary language in order to become a state.
Congress would have to give approval if Puerto Rico is to become the 51st state. Although Congress has considered numerous proposals to make English the official U.S. language, none has ever passed.
However, some states have passed their own laws declaring English the official language, including heavily Hispanic Florida.