Reply With QuoteToo bad Sex and the City 2 and MacGruber and Robin Hood and The Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time weren't combined into one megafilm.
May traditionally is viewed as the start of the summer blockbuster season, so we're about to get into the big films of the year. But equally interesting is to look at the year so far.
So far we have five movies that have topped $100m US box office so far in 2010 :
Alice in Wonderland
How to Train Your Dragon
Clash of the Titans
Shutter Island
Valentine's Day
Note: the new Nightmate on Elm Street has just opened and would technically count as an April release. It's opening numbers indicate it may end up topping $100m by the time all is said and done.
This is the same number (5) of $100m+ movies through April last year, but in 2008 only one film was above $100m by this time of the year. What's interesting about this year is that we have two really big films. Alice is over $300m so far, which puts it behind only Avatar and Transformers2 in 2009 terms. So a huge hit by most standards. But even Dragon is doing pretty well, as its long legs are about to put it over the totals put up by last year's top pre-May movie, Monsters vs. Aliens. So while we have the same number of $100m+ movies as last year, the overall success of this years films is greater.
Looking forward to May, last year gave us six $100m+ US box office films, with Up leading the pack. Here's what we are going to see in the next month (wide releases only, based on this source):
Iron Man 2
Letters to Juliet
Robin Hood
MacGruber
Shrek Forever After
Sex and the City 2
Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time
Unless one of those limited release titles takes off, I'm thinking this May will have a hard time matching last May's total of six $100m+ movies.
Too bad Sex and the City 2 and MacGruber and Robin Hood and The Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time weren't combined into one megafilm.
I just looked at a list of this year's upcoming releases. After Iron Man 2 it looks like I'm done with movies til next year. That will save me a lot of money!
Clash of the Titans made $100M? Did 3-D do that much for it, or has the bar been lowered that far now?
Does $100M make Clash profitable?
Originally Posted by TranquilityBase
Oh, it was profitable overall. Box Office Mojo puts its worldwide gross at almost $427m versus a production budget of $125m. Even factoring in the uncertain legitimacy of that production budget, the likely high marketing costs, and the fact that box office gross does not equal the actual money that goes back to the studio, that total is still high enough that the movie was in all likliehood profitable. And it still has the DVD/rental money to come.
I'm really looking forward to Robin Hood. The rest don't seem to do much for me. Iron Man 2 holds almost no interest, but then I wasn't interested in seeing the first one either and I ended up really enjoying it, so who knows!
Sadly there are only a handful of movies I wanna see this summer:
Iron Man 2
The Sorcerer's Apprentice
Prince of Persia
Ribon Hood
Seems like a fairly weak summer for movies, sadly.
No Toy Story 3 for you guys?
Oh, sorry, you're right, totally forgot about Toy Story 3. Gotta see that.
No Inception for you guys?
What's Inception?
Oh I see...
Wow, that's a helluva cast...
Looks like we can add Iron Man 2 to the list of $100m+ movies.
May is just about over and the last weekend estimates have come in. So what ended up happening?
First, Nightmare on Elm Street hit the wall and isn't going to come close to $100m+ US box office.
Second, this May is well behind last Mays production of six $100m+ movies. As of today we have only two that have reached that plateau, namely Iron Man 2 and Shrek Forever After. And while Iron Man 2 is doing about what was expected, Shrek is actually considered a disappointment.
Of the remaining, only one, Sex and the City 2, seems like a sure thing to get to $100m+. Robin Hood may end up pulling it off, but it won't be by much. And Prince of Persia looks like its going to have a hard time based on a mediocre first weekend opening.
So now we are going into June, typically a big month for Hollywood. And yet last year only 3 big movies were released. Which means the bar for the month is pretty low.
Here's what's scheduled for June in wide release:
Get Him to the Greek
Killers
Marmaduke
Splice
The A-Team
The Karate Kid
Jonah Hex
Toy Story 3
Grown Ups
Knight and Day
Twilight Saga: Eclipse
Two of those (Toy Story 3 and Twilight) seem automatic hits. I wonder what else will be big?
Because I am a pessimist, I predict great success for Marmaduke.
Splice looks really cool, but I predict it will tank.
Fortunately, it apparently is not quite the box office sensation many were afraid of.
Marmaduke lapped up an estimated $11.3 million on around 3,700 screens at 3,213 venues in the weekend's relatively wimpiest opening. Talking-animal family comedies usually have more pull than this, and Marmaduke's start charted near the bottom of the sub-genre, coming in lower than past disappointment Underdog. The not-so-Great Dane was further dwarfed by Garfield: The Movie, Alvin and the Chipmunks, Beverly Hills Chihuahua and many more.
We may have just been spared the Heathcliff movie...
A-Team is easily gonna break 100$ mill.
It does seem to be getting good reviews. And so is the Karate Kid remake.
June is almost over and new movies this week will count as July openings. But first, where are we at for the last couple of months?
Those were the movies from May that as of the beginning of June looked like they had a shot at surpassing the $100m+ US box office totals. As it turned out, Robin Hood did manage to get over the bar, but Sex in the City 2 has really dropped off and still hasn't pulled it off. It may eventually do so, but as of now May is stuck overall with only 3 movies that have made it over $100m US box office.Of the remaining, only one, Sex and the City 2, seems like a sure thing to get to $100m+. Robin Hood may end up pulling it off, but it won't be by much. And Prince of Persia looks like its going to have a hard time based on a mediocre first weekend opening.
Now let's look at what happened in June.
Twilight doesn't hit until this weekend, even if it does officially open on Wednesday, so that'll end up being part of July's movies. Of the others, Toy Story 3 and Karate Kid are the only movies to hit it "big" in June. The A-Team is third for the month, but seems very unlikely to hit the $100m level. Knight and Day opened very recently, but it's $20m opening is too low to think it will ever come close to the $100m level.Here's what's scheduled for June in wide release:
Get Him to the Greek
Killers
Marmaduke
Splice
The A-Team
The Karate Kid
Jonah Hex
Toy Story 3
Grown Ups
Knight and Day
Twilight Saga: Eclipse
Two of those (Toy Story 3 and Twilight) seem automatic hits. I wonder what else will be big?
So Hollywood is behind last year's pace for $100m movies so far in 2010. By the end of June 2009, 14 movies that topped $100m US box office had been released. So far in 2010 we have 10.
Will July change the situation? Last year 3 movies were released in July that hit it big. Here is this year's list of possibilities (wide releases):
Twilight Saga: Eclipse (per the carry over)
The Last Airbender
Despicable Me
Predators
The Sorcerer's Apprentice
Inception
Ramona and Beezus
Salt
Cats & Dogs: The Revenge of Kitty Galore
Charlie St. Cloud
Dinner for Schmucks
Edit: I realize that I completely forgot about Grownups, which did open pretty strong last weekend at over $40m. Since most big movies do at least 3x their opening, Grownups seems like a likely candidate to exceed the $100m bar.
Last edited by Sarkus; 06-30-2010 at 01:16 AM. Reason: Totally forgot about Grownups!
Out of that list, the only two I'm even remotely interested in are Inception and way, way down the scale, Predators.
Ditto.
Well, and Ramona and Beezus, obviously.
How did I not know about Ramona and Beezus?
I find I don't even recognize about half the movies getting wide release this summer. Ramona and Beezus being one of them, though that fact that it starts Selena Gomez means it has a chance of being bigger then I would think if you had just told me it was a Beverly Cleary book adaptation. Tweens may also give Charlie St. Cloud a boost (Zac Effron stars.)
Despicable Me might surprise, given that it's animation, 3D, and has a pretty good voice cast that includes Steve Carell and may be a bit more adult friendly then most summer animation. And Carell shows up again in Dinner for Schmucks, which is a rare adult comedy this summer.
Inception is the Nolan directed sci-fi thriller staring DiCaprio that actually looks half-decent, while Salt is the Angelina Jolie thriller that doesn't look all that good.
So there are possibilities, I suppose.
Out of that July list I think only three movies will pass the $100m box office bar.
Twilight
The Last Airbender
Despicable Me
(I'm actually not too sure about Airbender.)
Last Airbender's a roll of the dice at this point. I think word of mouth over the course of the long weekend will be its death or salvation in the end.
My kids have watched the Despicable Me trailer about 30 times on iTunes. I don't get it, nothing jumps out at me and I'd be fine waiting until dvd.
Everyone knew about it, extarbags, since we all read this.
Posting Permissions