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View Full Version : Clinton 57%, Obama 43%


magnet
03-04-2008, 11:44 AM
No, that's not early reporting from Texas and Ohio. That's just a number I plugged into the Slate delegate calculator (http://www.slate.com/features/delegatecounter/). If Clinton gets 57% of the popular vote in all 16 remaining primaries, including today's... she still loses.*

She needs 58%. Lots of them, actually. If she gets 60% in Ohio and 57% in all the rest, she loses.

Every Clinton victory that is under +16 is essentially a step backward. Frankly, I don't see how she can pull this off.




* She loses the pledged delegate count. But if you think superdelegates, MI, or FL will overturn the rest of the country, you're dreaming.

jeffd
03-04-2008, 12:01 PM
Realistically it's doubtful she can pull this off. Mark Ambinder did the math (http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/02/inside_delegate_math_the_numbers.php) and came up with the conclusion that even under the rosiest of scenarios, Clinton probably can't win the pledged delegate count.